Boston

The Usual Suspects - Its business as usual for Red Sox manager Terry Francona is shown here with pitchers Jon Lester and Tim Wakefield. Also seen are First baseman Sean Casey and Dustin Pedroia, all five of these guys have played in the ALCS and their experience could pay off as they will begin play against the Rays Friday night in Tampa. Friday night will mark the 4th time in the last 6 seasons in which Terry Francona will be managing the Red Sox in the ALCS.

Kings of the Hub - GM Theo Epstein and Terry Francona have turned the Red Sox into the most powerful team in major league baseball. They defied all logic in 2004 by giving Boston its first World Series in 86 years, they are now just 4 wins away from their 3rd World Series appearance in the last 5 years.

Welcome to Bay’s State - Jason Bay has been huge in his first post season. Bay hit .412 with 2 homeruns and 5 RBI’s in his first ever playoff Series against the Angels. If Bay stays hot Tampa may be in a world of trouble.

AL MVP ? - Dustin Pedroia had an amazing season as he lead the AL in runs scored and tied Ichiro for most hits. Although Pedroia struggled in the Sox first series he is still the key to the Red Sox advancing past the Rays.

Record Breaker ?- Flame throwing closer Jonathan Papelbon is just 1/3 of an inning away from setting a new major league record for consecutive playoff scoreless innings. Francona must use Pap wisely as Tampa has enjoyed some success off him this year.

Speed Kills - The Red Sox are a different team when Jacoby Ellsbury gets on base. His speed is one of the team’s greatest assets and Tampa must keep him off the bases if they want to win.

Beantown’s Newest Superstar - Jon Lester may be the greatest story ever in Boston sports for what he was able to come back from off the field. This year he is making his own legacy on the field and is emerging as the Red Sox best starting pitcher. He will start Monday at Fenway in Game 3 vs the Rays.
IN BOSTON, WINNING ISN’T EVERYTHING ITS THE ONLY THING
Over the last 7 years the City of Boston has ruled the world of sports winning 6 titles. In all of those championship runs, new stars were born. It all started with Bill Belichick and the Patriots dismantling the “Greatest Show on Turf” by beating the Rams in the 2001 Super Bowl. Boston had longed for that title as we had not won anything since 1986 and the Patriots had been one of the worst NFL franchises ever. From that season QB Tom Brady came onto the scene and is now a happy owner of 3 rings and an NFL MVP. The Patriots went from being a laughing stock to the most hated team in professional sports, yes they are even more hated than the Yankees. In 2004 the Boston Red Sox had waited 86 years for a championship. Their run to the top of major league baseball may have been the most magical of all as DH David Ortiz lead the way and became one of baseball’s best clutch hitters by having 3 walk off hits during the 2004 playoffs.Those Red Sox will forever be known as the only team ever to win a Series being down 0-3, and best of all they did it against their rivals the Yankees. I remember it like it was yesterday as I was fortunate enough to go to those games. David Ortiz would then break a Red Sox single season home run record by blasting 54 HR’s in 2006. Once again a star was born and after that first championship Ortiz’s career took off. In 2007 the Red Sox were at it again as Dustin Pedroia and Kevin Youkilis combined for 6 HR’s in leading the Red Sox to their 2nd World Series Championship in 4 years. They both followed that up with two separate MVP type seasons and in my eyes Pedroia is hands down the 2008 AL MVP. The 2008 version of the Red Sox also have a new star developing before our eyes and that is ace lefty Jon Lester. Lester is becoming one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball and his stats show it. He was 16-6 with a 3.21 ERA. His strikeout to walk ratio was 152 K’s to 66 BB’s. Lester is 2-0 lifetime in the playoffs with a ridiculous ERA of .77 in 23 1/3 innings pitched. Lester has been the biggest key to the Red Sox pitching staff and I believe he is becoming one of the best pitchers in all of baseball. Lester could get two chances to face the Rays in this Series and he may be the difference in winning or losing. If there is anyone on the 2008 Red Sox I would want to hand Jon Lester the ball with the season on the line because I know he will definitely come through. Boston has waited a long time to reign atop the sports world and it seems we have become a bit spoiled with winning. Right now the Hub is the City of Champions and the mentality of these players, and fans is simple, winning isn’t everything it’s the only thing. Call it cockiness but its like Larry Bird said ” If you can do it , it isn’t bragging.”
Tampa Bay

Evan Almighty - Rays third baseman Evan Longoria had a monster season and eill most likely take home AL Rookie of the Year. He also became the first rookie ever to homer in his first two playoff AB’s. The Rays will surely need him to hit if they want to have any chance at beating the tough starting rotation the Red Sox have.

Tampa’s Bad Boy - Back in June, James Shields brought this rivalry back to life by beaning Coco Crisp with a first pitch fastball in defense of a teammate. Shields will get the ball in Game 1 with the opportunity to start the Rays off on the right foot. Shields was 8-3 at Tropicana Field in 2008.

9=8: Tampa Bay Rays Baseball
The Man With The Plan - Rays Manager Joe Maddon, coined the phrase 9=8 which simply means 9 guys working together as hard as they everyday, throughout the season will equal 1 of the 8 post season berths. This is what the Rays live by and their style of play indicates how much faith they have in their leader. Maddon will have his guys ready for their toughest challenge yet to come.

McFilthy and McNasty - Rays setup man Grant Balfour pitched in 3 out of the 4 games vs the White Sox. He struck out 4 hitters in 3 1/3 innings of relief. Balfour and Papelbon are easily the two most dominant pitchers in this Series.

Homeward Bound - Northeastern Grad and Rays leader Carlos Pena from Haverhill Mass will be out to try and make sure his team’s dream season continues by getting past the Red Sox. Pena has had a ton of big hits vs the Sox since he joined the Rays.
TROPICANA FIELD OF DREAMS
In Tampa the biggest thing has always been the Buccaneers. As a matter of fact, over the last few years the Yankees spring training games most times would draw more than the Rays regular season. Oh how times have changed as the Rays went from last place to first in the very competitive AL East in just one season. They are now just four wins away from having their dream season ending with a World Series berth. The team standing in their way is the defending champion Boston Red Sox. Ladies and gentlemen this series is going to be an all out war of pitching as the two best rotations will square off in an epic battle. The Rays won their division mainly because for the first time ever they had all five starters win double digit games. The Red Sox ended up here on the same plane as their top 3 starters won a total of 46 games this season, which almost accounted for 50 percent of their wins. This Series is great because it is yet another chapter in this heated Red Sox / Rays rivalry. To be honest this may be the rivalry of the future as both of these teams have a ton of young talent that will make them good for some time to come. The Rays also have two of the hottest relief pitchers in baseball with setup men Grant Balfour, and JP Howell. These two guys may be the biggest reason the Rays are here as they would record big time outs all through the season. Balfour’s ERA was just 1.54 in just 58 1/3 innings. What might be even more amazing was Balfour’s strikeout total which was a career high of 82 for the season. JP Howell a tough lefty had an ERA of 2.22 with 92 K’s in 89 1/3 innings pitched. Back in March Joe Maddon started the 9=8 phrase by making T shirts that only his players could wear. The phrase worked and it became a team slogan all throughout the year and the best part about this was that all Maddon’s young players bought into it. The Rays are fearless and if you think they are happy with just getting this far you have got another thing coming. They are finally here and believe it or not but people are coming out of the cornfields just to see them as they have sold out every playoff game the rest of the way. Tampa may not be Iowa but it’s like they say winning has a funny way of changing things and when you become a contender like the Rays, People Will Come and they’ll spend money on a ticket without even knowing why or what they are watching. Tampa is just four wins away from having Tropicana Field become a young players Field of Dreams.
Full Playoff Series Analysis 2008 ALCS - Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
THE KEY TO THIS SERIES - THE STARTING PITCHERS IN THIS SERIES

In The Playoffs Pitching Always Wins -The reason these two teams are that last two standing is because of their starting pitching. The key to winning this Series will come down to a simple chess match of starting pitching. How both managers use their four starters could be the difference.




1-Matsuzaka 2-Beckett 3-Lester 4-Wakefield
2008 ALCS- Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers
Game 1-Rays James Shields vs Red Sox @ Tropicana Field- St. Petersburgh
Red Sox fans know James Shields well as he was the main figure in revamping this rivalry. Shields was just 2-2 against the Red Sox with a rough 5.85 ERA as he rendered 13 earned runs in 20 innings pitched. Shields is a control freak and will constantly be in th strike zone so the Red Sox hitters must be aggressive. One thing that concerns me is that for the last two seasons James Shields has thrown 215 innings each season, and he may be getting close to his breaking point. The last three guys to pitch 210+ innings in back to back years were Pedro Martinez, Curt Schilling, and AJ Burnett and they all had stints on the DL the following year. This may not effect the Rays this year but it is definitely of some concern for the future. Opposite Shields is Daisuke Matsuzaka who is major league baseball’s version of Wild Thing Ricky Vaughn. Daisuke walked 94 guys in just 167 2/3 innings this season. One positive not is that Daisuke was able to allow all those walks and still end up with an amazing 18-3 record. That shows his ability to make big pitches when needed. Daisuke was 10-1 at the break and ended the second half with a record of 8-2 so if you look at things he had a solid season. He faced the Rays 3 times this year and had a record of 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 15 innings pitched. One thing to keep in mind is that Daisuke Matsuzaka was a perfect 9-0 away from Fenway Park with an amazing 2.37 ERA in 76 innings pitched. If the Rays beat him this will be the first time in 2008 that Daisuke Matsuzaka was on the losing end of a road game. Look obviously I am a Red Sox fan but in the playoffs WALKS KILL YOU and I just know that sooner or later Daisuke is going to get in trouble with the walks and eventually they will end up hurting you. I like the Red Sox in this Series but in this matchup of pitchers I have to go with Shields for the factors of control and its the first home game I believe the home team always has an advantage the first night.
ADVANTAGE RAYS
Game 2-Rays Scott Kazmir vs Red Sox Josh Beckett @ Tropicana Field- St. Petersburgh
This one could be the most misleading match up of all as alot of Red Sox fans think Scott Kazmir kills us. That is not entirely true as he has a 6-7 record against the Red Sox with a 3.67 ERA. In 2008 Kazmir was 0-2 with an ERA of 9.00 which alot had to do with his last start in September in which he gave up 7 runs un 3+ innings. Kazmir is just 24 and if his slider is on he can make it look so easy. September was his worst month as his ERA was 5.19. He ended the year with a record of 12-8 and a 3.49 ERA in 152 1/3 innings pitched. Kazmir is either on or off as his strikeout to walk ratio indicates this with 166 K’s to 70 BB’s. Kazmir won his first playoff game against Chicago but these circumstances are much different. Beckett is one of baseball’s greatest post season pitchers of all time and his record indicates this at 6-2 with a 2.09 ERA. Beckett seems to up the ante in he post season as he has fanned 88 hitters in just 77 2/3 innings pitched. Beckett was 2-1 against the Rays this year with a 2.06 ERA. In His one loss he only gave up 2 runs over 8 innings which shows me that when he’s on he is dominant on this line up. Beckett had his worst playoff start against the Angels in the ALDS as he gave up 4 runs in just 5 innings. With Beckett’s playoff track record I don’t expect this to happen again as it seems like Beckett is turning into the modern Day Catfish Hunter. It seems like Beckett is stealing his MO by the bigger the game the better he pitched and I expect the Red Sox to win this game regardless of how Game 1 turns out.
ADVANTAGE RED SOX
Game 3- Red Sox Jon Lester vs Rays Matt Garza @ Fenway Park- Boston
This is the biggest mismatch of this Series as Jon Lester is just filthy. Lester has morphed into a dominant force an may be the Red Sox best pitcher. His fastball seems to get stronger as the game goes on as he was clocked at 98 mph in the 6th inning of Game 4 vs the Angels. Lester also owned the Rays this year by going a perfect 3-0 in 3 starts. His ERA against Tampa was even more impressive as it ended off at .90 in 20 innings pitched. Lester also collected 19 strikeouts in those 20 innings. In my eyes Jon Lester is currently the best starting pitcher left in the playoffs, so this one should be an easy call. Matt Garza is like a maniac on the mound and just like I said in the previous Series he will implode and he ended up doing just that. See its simple on the road you need to keep your composure and you can’t get mad if you don’t get every single strike call. In my eyes Garza has a ton of talent but he really needs to work on his mental toughness. If things get out of hand don’t be surprised if Garza tries to spark the fire. I think this is Joe Maddon’s biggest mistake by pitching him at Fenway and it may end up costing them the Series. Garza was 1-1 against the Red Sox with a 4.50 ERA in 22 innings. The most discouraging thing about those stats are that he gave up 21 hits in those 22 innings. Lester rolls in this one and this may end up being the end of the Rays.
ADVANTAGE RED SOX
Game 4- Red Sox Tim Wakefield vs Rays Andy Sonnanstine @ Fenway Park- Boston
Every Red Sox fan knows Tim Wakefield’s success against the Rays, but this year he struggled mightily going 0-2 with a 5.87 ERA in 3 starts. Wakefield’s career record is 19-5 with a 3.32 ERA in 41 appearances against the Rays. At home Wakefield was 7-4 with a 3.10 ERA in 14 starts this season. Wakefield is 5-2 with a 4.50 ERA in 9 appearances in LCS play. Overall Wakefield is 5-6 with a 6.36 ERA in the post season. Sonnanstine may not be very well known but he has enjoyed a ton of success against the Red Sox this season. Twice in the same week Sonnanstine went blow for blow with Beckett pitching 13 scoreless innings allowing only 7 hits. The Rays won both of those games and I believe they were the difference in Tampa winning the division over Boston. Sonnanstine won his first playoff game ever against the White Sox going 5 2/3 innings giving up 3 hits and 2 runs. Sonnanstine is just 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA against the Red Sox in his career. Here is the thing you have young kid in Sonnanstine and a veteran in Wakefield who has been in this spot many times. If this game was in Tampa I’d like Sonnanstine but with it being in Boston I think the Red Sox line up will get to him. I like Wakefield stepping up at home and stealing this one.
ADVANTAGE RED SOX
Starting Lineups
RAYS vs RED SOX ADV
1. 2B- Akinori Iwamura vs CF- Jacoby Ellsbury- Aki hit .389 in his first playoff series vs the White Sox, Ellsbury hit .333 vs the Angels and he also hit over .400 in last year’s World Series. Ellsbury can do more if he gets on base as he is a threat to score on any extra base hit from first base. Its close but its Ellsbury-RED SOX
2. CF- BJ Upton vs 2B- Dustin Pedroia- Upton had a monster series against the White Sox leading the team with 3 HR’s. Even though Pedroia struggled against the Angels only receiving 1 hit he is the AL MVP and you have to give this one to him. Bottom line Upton is solid but Pedroia is a better hitter.- RED SOX
3. 1B- Carlos Pena vs DH- David Ortiz-Both of these guys are clutch hitters. Obviously overall Ortiz has had more post season success but thats because he has been there more. Carlos Pena is this team’s toughest out and as of right now in my eyes this one too close to call. - TIE
4. 3B-Evan Longoria vs 3B- Kevin Youkilis-Two of baseball’s best young players collide in this one. Youkilis is everything that is great about the Boston Red Sox, and Longoria although young looks like he will be an All Star for a long time to come. If I had to choose I’d take Youk for the simple fact that he is more experienced and a more patient hitter. Longoria hit under .300 whereas Youk hit a solid .312. They both play solid defense too as Longoria is one of the best defensive third baseman in baseball. Its real close but I’ll take Youk.- RED SOX
5. LF-Carl Crawford vs RF- JD Drew- Overall Crawford is the better player with his ability to run and steal bases. But in the playoffs JD Drew may be second to only David Ortiz for clutch hitting. JD Drew kills the Rays if you don’t believe me look at the stats. They are both banged up but in the playoffs I’ll take Drew.
6. DH-Cliff Floyd vs LF- Jason Bay- Floyd may be the glue that holds the Rays clubhouse together but he’s no Jason Bay. For the life of me I can’t understand why the Red Sox are rumored to move him this offseason. Bay is clutch and Floyd has never had a playoff Series like Bay just did. Bay hit .412 with 2 home runs and 5 RBI’s in 4 games against the Angels. He also scored the game winning run and threw out Torri Hunter trying to stretch a single. Bay is Boston’s hottest player and up against Floyd its a mismatch.- RED SOX
7. C-Dioner Navarro vs 1B- Mark Kotsay-Navarro is one of baseball’s best catchers where as Kotsay on a good team is a role player. Kotsay does have an impressive average in LCS play at .383 but Navarro was the Rays best hitter this season batting .295. I like Kotsay and I am glad he is here but Dioner Navarro is simply a better hitter both in contact and power.- RAYS
8. RF-Gabe Gross vs SS- Jed Lowrie-Lowrie had the series clinching hit against the Angels and seems to have come back to life after struggling at the end of the year. Gross is a one dimensional hitter where its power or nothing. Gross strikes out a lot and in my eyes a right fielder is a corner player who needs to either hit for average or power. Gross does have power but not enough. Its close but it is still Lowrie.- RED SOX
9. SS- Jason Bartlett vs C- Jason Varitek - Joe Maddon will consistently say that Bartlett is the Rays MVP. He hit .286 this season which was good for 2nd on the team. Bartlett plays solid defense and he is one of the best base runners in this series. Varitek had his worst year ever in a Red Sox uniform as his average was an abysmal .220. Three years ago this wasn’t close but right now Bartlett is a much better hitter.-RAYS
ADVANTAGE RED SOX- As you can see the Red Sox have a much better line up on paper, but that is why we play the games. Statistically this isn’t even close but unfortunately stats do not contain intangibles and the Rays have some of baseball’s best intangibles. All year long time after time they would find a way to win games by use of sacrifice or the big hit. Sure the Red Sox have Ortiz, Youkilis, Pedroia and Bay but Tampa has a scrappy bunch that will fight you every inch of the way. This series will be decided by starting pitching, and in my eyes the lineup’s are secondary. The Red Sox may have better hitters but this match up is closer than you think.
Best 3 Bullpen Arms
Closer Battle- Rays Dan Wheeler vs Red Sox Jonathan Papelbon
As Chaz Reinhold said in Wedding Crashers, ” Its not even fair.” This may be the biggest mismatch of the Series as Papelbon is just a 1/3 an inning away from setting a new record for consecutive scoreless playoff innings. Wheeler is shaky and if Maddon decides to use him in a tough spot he could end up getting burned. As of now Wheeler is still the closer and if he decides to use Balfour in this role it may be the difference in winning and losing. If he stays with Wheeler or goes to Balfour it still won’t matter as Papelbon is one of the game’s most dominant pitchers.
ADVANTAGE RED SOX
Setup Men Battle
Rays Grant Balfour and JP Howell vs Red Sox Manny Delcarmen and Hideki Okajima
This match up is interesting because you have two Rays relievers who are lights out ona nightly 92 basis. JP Howell had a great season by posting a 2.22 ERA in 89 1/3 innings pitched. He also fanned 92 hitters. Balfour had the most ridiculous turnaround of any pitcher outside of Cleveland as he was 6-2 with an insane ERA of 1.54. Whats more amazing is that he struck out 82 hitters in just 58 1/3 innings. Both Balfour and Howell need to stay hot if they want to win this Series. These are two guys who were castoffs in Minnesota and Kansas City before joing the Rays so it is great to see them succeed. Okajima and Delcarmen have been in the post season before as they were a big part of last year’s championship team. Delcarmen when on is tough as his fastball can reach 97 on the gun. Okajima will be huge in this Series as both Crawford and Pena are lefties. Either way you look at it the Rays have this won in the bag.
ADVANTAGE-RAYS
Manager Battle
Rays Joe Maddon vs Red Sox Terry Francona
Two great guys and leader’s of their respective franchises square off in a battle for the right to go the World Series. Maddon definitely gets more out of less and that is why he will be the AL Manager of the Year, but how can anyone go against Francona as his playoff success has changed the City and Life of Boston forever. Francona is responsible for the players getting up night in and night out and there is no better motivator than him in baseball. Maddon is good at X’s and O’s but bottom line overall he is no Francona and he still has alot more to accomplish before we put them in the same class.
ADVANTAGE RED SOX
FINAL OUTCOME-BOSTON RED SOX OVER TAMPA BAY RAYS IN 5 GAMES.
Tampa definitely has a shot to win this Series its just that I wouldn’t bet on it. Time and time again the Red Sox have come up big in Series under Terry Francona so why would this time be any different. I have said all year that the 2008 Red Sox starting pitchers are better than either of their two previous championship teams, that is the reason why I am picking them in this series. Starting pitching wins and if you look at things both of these teams have it better than most which is why the are here at the end. I just like the Lester, Beckett, Dice-K, combo better than Shields, Kazmir, and Garza. Look if this series goes 6 or 7 games can anyone name two pitchers in baseball you’d rather have pitching than Josh Beckett or Jon Lester with the chance to go the World Series? I can’t which is why I am taking the Red Sox over the Rays in this Series.
Matthew Giacoppo- The Brain